4 draws

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dangerous
Senior Member
Posts: 176
Joined: Sun Aug 28, 2005 7:58 pm

4 draws

Post by dangerous »

Been having success with backing draws over the last month or so and am currently trying the 4 draw accumulator route.

Apparently roughly 50% of English domestic games end home win, 25% away win and 25% draw.

In my opinion the following picks won't end in a home win (and also the away team isn't vastly superior) so theres a 50/50 chance of the draw however the odds are nearer 9/4 for each.

Picked 4 lines of 4 draws for a pound stake per line. My idea is that if I can get 8/16 overall then one line of 4 could come in. I've gone for:

Line 1

Derby-Bolton, Coventry-Charlton, Huddersfield-Luton, Grimsby-Hereford

Line 2

Sunderland-Blackburn, Hull-Ipswich, Bournemouth-Carlisle, Macclesfield-Chester

Line 3

Barnsley-Cardiff, Preston-Bristol City, Yeovil-Notts Forest, Notts County-Chesterfield

Line 4

West Ham-Arsenal, Plymouth Wolverhampton, Port Vale-Southend, Morecambe-MK Dons

As a bit of fun I'll keep posting and see how much debt I rack up before one comes in.
ma71lda
Senior Member
Posts: 1497
Joined: Mon Jul 30, 2007 7:37 pm
Location: Manchester, UK

Post by ma71lda »

The joys and woes of four draws. I've had a line of four draws every weekend for as long as I can remember and I've got to be honest, its been the best moneymaker in football for me. Even at £1 stake it normally pays between £105-£120 a go.

But you will start pulling your hair out when 1 result lets you down week after week, especially 89th minute winners which happened to me last weekend ( MK v Darl). Therefore why not try them 'lucky 15' style. Even just a 40p L15 @ £6.00 pays;

1 result = £2.20

2 results = £6.00

3 results = £30.00

4 results = £125.00

These values are approximate depending on the odds but they're never too far out. I suppose it costs a bit more but only 2 results gets you your stake back.

Best of luck. :)
dangerous
Senior Member
Posts: 176
Joined: Sun Aug 28, 2005 7:58 pm

Post by dangerous »

Bad start to the system at the weekend. Only 5/16 draws which is quite poor but still enough to fill a four timer if I got lucky :D

The whole point was to pick games where the home team wouldnt win and I managed to pick 6 that ended in homes :o ops: Back to the drawing board I guess, will be having a go at the Champions league games midweek.

Balance: -£4
dangerous
Senior Member
Posts: 176
Joined: Sun Aug 28, 2005 7:58 pm

Post by dangerous »

ma71lda wrote: especially 89th minute winners which happened to me last weekend ( MK v Darl)
By the way that same result let me down that week as well. But I had a £2 stake on it. And I was watching Soccer Saturday when it went in. I remember rolling around on the floor in agony.

As for the lucky 15 I think you have to be consistent (which I'm not), instead I'm going for the scattergun approach for the big four timer win.

I would have thought I'd hit one before I get to 100 goes to make a profit but we'll have to wait and see.
dangerous
Senior Member
Posts: 176
Joined: Sun Aug 28, 2005 7:58 pm

Post by dangerous »

In the Champion League gone for:

Besiktas - Porto
Celtic - AC Milan
Lazio - R Madrid
Valencia - Chelsea
harry 3
Senior Member
Posts: 1294
Joined: Mon Jul 18, 2005 2:23 pm

Post by harry 3 »

Good luck. Three draws in sixteen fixtures so far.
dangerous
Senior Member
Posts: 176
Joined: Sun Aug 28, 2005 7:58 pm

Post by dangerous »

5 out of 16 actually :)
dangerous
Senior Member
Posts: 176
Joined: Sun Aug 28, 2005 7:58 pm

Post by dangerous »

Massive scattergun approach today with the draws

Line 1
Chelsea
QPR
Dagenham
Livingstone

Line 2
Newcastle
Bristol C
Ebbsfleet
Queen of the Soutn

Line 3
Fulham
Southampton
Leyton Orient
Berwick

Line 4
Scunthorpe
Lincoln
Stafford Rangers
Peterhead
dangerous
Senior Member
Posts: 176
Joined: Sun Aug 28, 2005 7:58 pm

Post by dangerous »

Oh dear. Poor day yesterday. Don't think the system is a bad idea but it's relying on me picking draws of which my ability seems highly questionable.

Anyone else fancy making the selections next time?
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