Page 1 of 2
Bobby Dazzler £25jp
Posted: Thu Feb 28, 2008 12:44 am
by fightstar
Has "super" mega streak on this again today had this 4 times now and everytime its gone for £29 am i unlucky?
Posted: Thu Feb 28, 2008 8:36 am
by pokerpete
no, lucky
you've won 4 consecutive 50/50 gambles.
is that 16/1?
Posted: Thu Feb 28, 2008 11:25 am
by PMK
Sir Robert Dazzzzzzler is plop!
Posted: Thu Feb 28, 2008 12:01 pm
by pokerpete
my mistake, 15/1 or 1 in 16
Posted: Thu Feb 28, 2008 12:24 pm
by JG
You're making a couple of big assumptions.
1) There is a 50% chance of a credit break from a red mega streak, irrespective of 'value' within the machine.
2) A credit break will always pay £4 extra.
I know you have contacts within Mazooma, but are these criteria above definitely satisfied?
I don't know the machine well enough to agree or disagree with you, but you seem very sure of yourself on this one.
Posted: Thu Feb 28, 2008 12:43 pm
by pokerpete
no you dont
Posted: Thu Feb 28, 2008 1:30 pm
by JG
Deep thought pondered the response to his ultimate question(s). It seemed no one was taking much notice. Here he was, the world's greatest supercompustreaker and politician's tactics were being used against him. His ancillary bass drivers cut into action, a residual hum being produced as a result within the fruitchat room.
<<Buzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzz>>
Rich in bass and resonance, he repeated the posting.
You're making a couple of big assumptions.
1) There is a 50% chance of a credit break from a red mega streak, irrespective of 'value' within the machine.
2) A credit break will always pay £4 extra.
I know you have contacts within Mazooma, but are these criteria above definitely satisfied?
As an afterthought, an ancillary SUBWOOFER buzzed into action.
ARE THESE CRITERIA ABOVE DEFINITELY SATISFIED?
Slartifartreelblast's ears started to bleed. A petrol station security monitor in Gloucester started to shake.
Posted: Thu Feb 28, 2008 1:34 pm
by PMK
Yes thats right a Robert Dazzzzzzler's chance of repeating on a red MS is all down to odds isn't it? 50/50 each time either yes or no? Of course it is!!!!!
Its all (JG-ism) Blooping nonsense!!!
Is the word Bloop now in the dictionary?
Posted: Thu Feb 28, 2008 2:00 pm
by pokerpete
pm'd
Posted: Thu Feb 28, 2008 2:04 pm
by PMK
If the repeat chance was indeed a 'chance' then that may well be the case. The fact that it isn't on this machine means getting 4 conscutive yes's(is that a word) has nothing at all to do with odds.
Posted: Thu Feb 28, 2008 2:08 pm
by pokerpete
you're saying that getting past the credit break is guaranteed?
Posted: Thu Feb 28, 2008 2:09 pm
by JG
The OP asked if he was unlucky.
I appreciate that the repeat may or may not be subjective to a 50% chance. However I also feel that the amount that it repeats for is of importance in an issue of luck.
If it repeats only one time in four, but gives another £25 on that one time, surely the OP has had more luck?
Posted: Thu Feb 28, 2008 2:11 pm
by pokerpete
perhaps we should be discussing the possibility that there's no such thing as 'luck'
Posted: Thu Feb 28, 2008 2:23 pm
by Drpepper
You need to perform a hypothesis test to work out mathematically whether he was unlucky or not.
But for that you'd need a mean value and standard deviation for the value of a MS, and a significance level.
He was lucky to get past the credit break 4 times in a row, but unlucky to only get an extra £4 each time. Whether or not that makes him lucky or unlucky overall is down to opinion.
Posted: Thu Feb 28, 2008 2:32 pm
by PMK
pokerpete wrote:you're saying that getting past the credit break is guaranteed?
Not guaranteed, but the amount the MS does is already pre-determined, just like on any win series type feature. The fact the original poster had £29 3 or times on the trot proves this. It obviously hasn't saved enough for a big streak but gives a bit extra. Rovers/Panthers etc are similar.
Anybody who knows the profile of this machine and its clones knows that the only time MS goes HUGE is during a run, where by it does 3 lots of £25's via credit break or consecutive £25 MS boards.
Luck/odds/chance have nothing to do with the no. of repeats this machine decides to give.
Surely you know this? Or is this a wind up?